Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 3.422209 3.794564 4.198335 4.669980 5.207393 5.802533 6.514032
2025-06-22 2.869123 3.363168 3.936472 4.655687 5.540490 6.602052 7.985091
2025-06-29 2.501461 3.051221 3.721246 4.607350 5.762530 7.237193 9.294463
2025-07-06 2.159132 2.712636 3.412448 4.375865 5.689472 7.450433 10.046283
2025-07-13 1.988896 2.566233 3.320916 4.398978 5.931763 8.084082 11.430318
2025-07-20 1.871987 2.473812 3.284525 4.482387 6.252832 8.849597 13.097749
2025-07-27 1.778202 2.401199 3.263696 4.578243 6.592533 9.670980 14.959466
2025-08-03 1.687191 2.322686 3.224345 4.637805 6.876526 10.431222 16.826368
2025-08-10 1.598890 2.239656 3.169184 4.664219 7.105466 11.122364 18.672011
2025-08-17 1.478580 2.100089 3.017889 4.525065 7.048231 11.323912 19.659493
2025-08-24 1.390194 2.001762 2.920940 4.461968 7.107188 11.725493 21.073881
2025-08-31 1.320974 1.927634 2.855292 4.442591 7.235800 12.260620 22.827636
2025-09-07 1.292548 1.916215 2.889649 4.596526 7.691850 13.467719 26.203259
2025-09-14 1.229518 1.845987 2.824179 4.573704 7.825243 14.078716 28.425378
2025-09-21 1.167062 1.772596 2.748064 4.524890 7.903431 14.588049 30.513374
2025-09-28 1.076961 1.648947 2.580129 4.298144 7.617880 14.319858 30.725161
2025-10-05 1.038772 1.608748 2.550686 4.320718 7.821267 15.098272 33.634760
2025-10-12 1.013408 1.588289 2.553383 4.402321 8.150164 16.189786 37.575061
2025-10-19 0.991555 1.572317 2.562477 4.496100 8.513235 17.407780 42.138975
2025-10-26 0.965489 1.547464 2.553889 4.554367 8.806745 18.506870 46.642907
2025-11-02 0.936274 1.515419 2.530096 4.580205 9.031960 19.474834 51.008868
2025-11-09 0.886096 1.443813 2.429691 4.444074 8.883072 19.500494 52.481963
2025-11-16 0.849422 1.394547 2.367939 4.382342 8.896668 19.938653 55.386430